Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.004446 0.005015 0.005660 0.006452 0.007408 0.008536 0.009986
2025-12-14 0.003615 0.004320 0.005191 0.006366 0.007947 0.010061 0.013207
2025-12-21 0.003236 0.004027 0.005064 0.006565 0.008768 0.012033 0.017577
2025-12-28 0.003006 0.003865 0.005046 0.006864 0.009744 0.014445 0.023553
2026-01-04 0.002771 0.003653 0.004914 0.006949 0.010383 0.016483 0.029840
2026-01-11 0.002548 0.003425 0.004718 0.006888 0.010750 0.018132 0.036243
2026-01-18 0.002381 0.003258 0.004588 0.006903 0.011239 0.020158 0.044849
2026-01-25 0.002203 0.003056 0.004377 0.006744 0.011360 0.021451 0.052499
2026-02-01 0.002023 0.002835 0.004111 0.006448 0.011150 0.021927 0.058102
2026-02-08 0.001865 0.002635 0.003863 0.006151 0.010880 0.022183 0.063286
2026-02-15 0.001791 0.002563 0.003818 0.006225 0.011412 0.024676 0.079977
2026-02-22 0.001689 0.002437 0.003671 0.006083 0.011438 0.025810 0.092330
2026-03-01 0.001577 0.002296 0.003497 0.005890 0.011366 0.026835 0.107269
2026-03-08 0.001494 0.002196 0.003388 0.005818 0.011584 0.028929 0.134080
2026-03-15 0.001454 0.002165 0.003398 0.005994 0.012469 0.033803 0.199153
2026-03-22 0.001427 0.002155 0.003447 0.006258 0.013669 0.040819 0.333563
2026-03-29 0.001380 0.002105 0.003413 0.006332 0.014367 0.046436 0.519836
2026-04-05 0.001322 0.002031 0.003328 0.006279 0.014675 0.050584 0.762152
2026-04-12 0.001275 0.001976 0.003275 0.006292 0.015200 0.056464 1.278776
2026-04-19 0.001217 0.001895 0.003164 0.006152 0.015192 0.059416 1.877410
2026-04-26 0.001150 0.001797 0.003011 0.005892 0.014721 0.059214 2.297900
2026-05-03 0.001088 0.001703 0.002863 0.005629 0.014197 0.058404 2.711532
2026-05-10 0.001062 0.001675 0.002845 0.005694 0.014853 0.066475 7.104833